Math of Reliability

Introduction to the Math of Reliability is a workshop for scientists, chemists, troubleshooters, and engineers who wish to understand the mathematics behind Reliability calculations. Most of the math is done by hand.

Benefits of the Workshop

  • You will know how to create a "bathtub" curve by hand.
  • You will be able to calculate distribution parameters, using Maximum Likelihood Estimation, by hand.
  • You will be able to calcuate Arrhenius acceleration by hand.
  • You will be able to use a computer to perform a Monte Carlo Analysis.
  • You will be able to use a computer to perform a Bootstrap Analysis.

In 2 days you will learn

  • How to use Maximum Likelihood Estimation to calculate distribution parameters.
  • How to calculate uncertainties in your parameters and predictions.
  • How to create a "bathtub" curve.
  • How to calculate Arrhenius acceleration factors.
  • How to calculate Cost Per Unit Time for equipment maintenance applications.
  • How to use censored data.

This is What Happens During the Training

  • You will review basic principles of calculus and matrix mathematics.
  • You will create several distribution curves and a "bathtub" curve by hand.
  • You will learn to calculate distribution parameters and their confidence limits by hand.
  • You will learn to perform Monte Carlo Anlysis and Bootstrap Analysis using a computer.
  • You will learn to calculate acceleration factors using an Arrhenius model.
  • You will learn to calculate optimal times for equipment maintenance.

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